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Prediction for CME (2013-04-11T07:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-04-11T07:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/154/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:12Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -11
Dst min. time: 2013-04-15T03:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T00:40Z
Prediction Method: ESA
Prediction Method Note:

On Apr 11, 2013, at 5:42 AM, Nat Gopalswamy wrote:
From STEREO beacon images (STB/COR2), I crudely estimate an Earthward speed of 1200 km/s.
First appearance in STB/COR2 FOV at 07:39:56 UT at a height of 3.3 Rs.
ESA model predicts a travel time of 41 h.
Earth arrival is expected on April 13 at 00:40 UT
Is this AR 1719 return of the one that produced the March 15 CME?
Nat Gopalswamy

Lead Time: 60.50 hour(s)
Difference: 21.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-04-11T09:42Z

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